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The Cause Of The Fall

Given that ewe numbers reported in the December census had been slightly above year-earlier levels, this, unfortunately, points to an increase in ewe mortality.

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Elsewhere in the British Isles, sheep numbers are reported using slightly different categories, but it is clear that lamb numbers have also fallen, he explained.

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“However, these declines have been to a lesser extent than in Scotland. In England, the lamb crop fell by 1.4%, on a 1.3% higher breeding flock, while the Northern Irish crop contracted by 2% on a 1.1% smaller ewe flock,” he said.

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In the Irish Republic, lamb numbers declined by 2.9% on a marginally increased breeding flock.

“Combine the three and you get a reduction of around 2% in lamb numbers on a slightly increased flock, with a three percentage point reduction in lambing percentage,” said Macdonald.

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“A smaller lamb crop appears to have had an impact on slaughterings. At the UK-level, Defra statistics point to an 8% year-on-year decline in slaughter numbers in the June to September period, with GB auction volumes down heavily over this period.

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